Extreme Atlantic hurricane seasons made twice as likely by ocean warming
13 April 2022
Tropical cyclones are amongst the most dangerous weather events. Here the authors develop an empirical model that allows them to estimate the number and strengths of tropical cyclones for given atmospheric conditions and sea surface temperatures. An application of the model shows that atmospheric circulation is the dominant factor for seasonal tropical cyclone activity. However, warming sea surface temperatures have doubled the likelihood of extremely active hurricane seasons in the past decades.
The press release by Climate Analytics can be found at: https://climateanalytics.org/latest/climate-change-doubles-chance-of-extreme-atlantic-cyclone-seasons-study/
Contact: Peter Pfleiderer (firstname.lastname@example.org)